According to my year-old poll,
only about ¼ of this blog’s readers believed that EUR/CHF would hold
above the floor level of 1.20 for so long. Since September 2011,
the currency pair has been demonstrating some really strange behavior —
from the points of view of both technical and fundamental analysis.
As can be seen on the chart below, EUR/CHF tried to reverse itslong-term downtrend immediately after the Swiss National Bank has introduced
the ”peg”. The rally only lasted for about a month and then, the Forex
pair went down gradually, reaching the 1.20 bottom level by April 2012.
The calm period lasted for five months with only three minor
disturbances — upward price spikes on May 24, June 29 and August 6.
In early September, 2012, the EUR/CHF showed some bullish action, which
has ended by September 18, after which day, the pair entered a sideways
movement near 1.21 area.

Considering the fact that this currency pair still bears an almostrisk-free opportunity
(for those who believe in SNB’s credibility) to earn from the positive
interest rate difference between the euro and the Swiss franc, it would
be useful to know what are the expectations of the average market
participants. My personal opinion is that EUR/CHF has a good chance
of staying near its current rate of 1.21 by the end of 2012.
Additionally, I believe that the Swiss financial authorities will keep
the 1.20 floor intact at least through 2013. And what do you think about
EUR/CHF?
As can be seen on the chart below, EUR/CHF tried to reverse its
Considering the fact that this currency pair still bears an almost
Where will EUR/CHF end its trading in 2012?
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